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Pineapple on 04 June 2009
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Kantor said:
Pineapple said:

How much do you reckon they will sell?

 

I'm at something ala

NSMB Wii - 10-14M

Wii Sports Resort - 8-12M

12 + 10M = 22M

 

 

Now, if you look at HALO 3 : ODST + Forza 3 + GT5 + FF14

I'd say that would sell something along the line of

Halo 3: ODST - 3-5M (?)

Forza 3 - 2-3M (?), depends on bundling.

GT5 - 8-10M

FF14 - 5-6M

 

Lolwut?

You're pretty much spot on for the Wii games, I think (perhaps lowballing WSR a bit), but...

Halo 3: ODST 3-5 million? It could double that. This is a Halo FPS, with a beta for a future Halo game. Don't compare it to Halo Wars. It's a shooter. It won't reach Halo 3 level sales (that should do around 13 million), but I would predict around 8-9 million for the game.

And FF14...it's an MMO. It'll be lucky to hit 2 million on PS3. Extremely lucky. If it sold 5-6 million, Square Enix would call Microsoft and make farting noises on the phone, then promptly withdraw all support and make all of their future games PS3 exclusive. They would also start grovelling at Kaz Hirai's feet.

And they would cancel the 360 version of FF14, too.

 

 I didn't know FF14 was a MMO, sorry. You're of course correct in that aspect.

 

I may as well have lowballed Halo 3. After checking abouts, 6-8M seems more likely.

 

Thanks for pointing that out, Kantor