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It's a tie now, but I think Nintendo wins in the end.

The other two have validated the new paradigm. Right now there is a lot of hyperbole and speculation about technology(which this industry is not inherently about), but once the dust has settled there will be a lot going on.

Right now it's either a tie, or hyperbolically a win from Sony and Microsoft. But I believe it will be looked back on as the Nintendo show, it's a moment handed to them. In the most fancy, hyperbolic and glamorous way possible. They(Nintendo) have this paradigm by the balls, but it will not be clear until every gamer has accepted it, with the momentary aid of sparkle magic from the HD twins. This is a dream come true for Nintendo.