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I'm seeing some strange predictions here.

First of all, you can't compare GTA 4 and MGS Rising. GTA 4 was the sequel to a PS2 (timed) exclusive, not a PS3 exclusive (and the eclusive DLC for the 360 also helped the sales).

There are 4 million MGS 4 owners, 4 million PS3 owners who are interested inthe MGS franchise (clearly not everyone is going to buyt it). That's why the PS3 version will outsell the 360 version quite a bit, even in America.