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I'd say these predictions are pretty reasonable, they are however on the pessimistic side imo. I just think most people are expecting Nintendo to redeem themselves this year and show lots of core titles, that's all, nothing against your predictions :)

i for one hope for a great show, but i am prepared for the worst. but besides that, this E3 is already WIN for me since i saw the No More Heroes 2 trailer (AWSOME!!!) and Final Fantasy: crystal bearers will be there... and whatever Nintendo does can't screw that up ;D