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theRepublic said:
WereKitten said:
theRepublic said:

Don't you realize why it is game over?  Once a new gen starts, software support for the second and third place consoles of the previous gen is going to dry up.

So how exactly would the Xbox or GBA keep selling without software support?

You speak as if it's a law of nature, but it isn't so. At best you're projecting in the future mechanics that happened how many times? Two, three? And this time with different technologies, economic conditions etc.

When did in the past the second and third place console constitute almost a single development platform?

When did in the past the development cost of a game baloon to such proportions, and in the same way the time required to develop the middleware needed to make a profit?

The game is changing all the time. Looking back at NES and SNES, Genesis, N64 and PS1 is simplistic. How the development will work in 2012-2013 has still to be written. It could very well be that both MS and SONY pull a Wii and release upgraded versions of their machines, but similar enough that simultaneous development can happen for the two generations.

You think the market is going to support six consoles?  I don't.

I've had this same argument with him myself.  I don't see how anyone can possibly think otherwise.  The only console that stands a chance of lasting after the next generation starts is the market leader (Wii).

He also seems to think that all the retailers will hold on to older systems for their software selling potential, even though a retailer will move on to the next console simply for future sales.  It is like any technology industry.  You don't keep selling mass amounts of early iPods or TV's or audio equipment.  When new stuff comes out, the old stuff is phased out rather quickly except for the "best" of the old stuff.  Even that see's a short extended life in most cases.

The only way a PS3 could catch up in sales before the next 3 consoles are released is if Sony does not release a next gen console and "skips" a generation or something like that.