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txrattlesnake said:
Viper1 said:
And the quality and amount of software coming to the other consoles is increasing as well. PS3 isn't in a vacuum. Because of this it won't be enough to suddenly put it way on top.

I'll put it bluntly. For PS3 to make great advances, it's going to require X360 and Wii to make great blunders.


     If Gears 3 is going to be on 720 and the majority of the 360's biggest games in the future will be Rare games.  That is a boon to the PS3.

    And I don't think Wii 100 million

                                PS3 70 million

                                360 50 million

   puts ps3 on top of anything this gen except the hd consoles, but still that ensures a fairly long shelf life.

You really are a bad analyst if you think Fable 3 and Gears 3 won't be on the 360.  Gears of War 3 (if it follows the release schedule of the first two games) will be out in 2010, with Fable 3 out the same year or 2011 at the latest.  The earliest we will see the Next Xbox would be 2012.

Also, anyone who thinks the PS3 will reach sub-$200 levels is off their rocker.  It started out at such an expensive level, and it will hit a floor point where it cannot go any lower.  The floor of a cheaper starting out console will be much lower.  The 360 started out at $475 to produce, the PS3 at around $800-900.  That means the floor price of the 360 will likely always be about 50% lower than what the PS3 will ever be able to do.  That means in the very last days of the 360 it will be around $99, but the PS3 will only be able to reach $199.