| HappySqurriel said: There are several problems with the PS3 retaining sales strenght much past the begining of the next generation, and many of them are based on the market position it currently holds (both in terms of sales as well as strategy) and the difficulty of changing the way consumers see a product after it has been established. The PS3 is currently an elitest early adopter product with sales that don't justify much exclusive third party support, and it will (probably) always be too expensive for the luddite late-adopters who buy late generation consoles because they're (amazingly) inexpensive. The kind of gamer who bought a 6+ year old PS2 at (roughly) $100 to play mass-market games like Guitar Hero and/or licenceware is not going to be all that excited to buy a 5 year old PS3 for $250 to play Killzone 2 when all the early adopters get excited about the minute details of next generation gaming; and to make matters worse, the gamer who buys a 6+ year old system is probably likely to be a late-adopter in other areas (like HDTV and Surround Sound) which limits the "Value" argument of the PS3.
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A $250.00 PS3 (being the only console that gets recognizable ports of Next gen games) will fair pretty well against a $400.00 to $500.00 Nextbox for the first couple of years of the Next gen.
