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rckrz6 on 26 May 2009
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twesterm said:
coolestguyever said:
PS3 is going to dominate the 360 in sales once its dropped to $299. I predict within 2 years of a $299 price point the PS3 will have cut the deficit to about 3 million, and within about 3 1/2 years the PS3 will be ahead of the 360.

I bet the PS3 outsells the 360 by 50k per week on average for the next 2 years once its down to $299. That's how I got the 3 million number [8,000,000 - (104 x 50,000)].

If the PS3 dropped price tomorrow it would take 156 weeks (3 years) of outselling the 360 by 51k per week just to catch up.  Even if that miracuously did happen (which it won't), it will already be well into 2012 by that point with the next Xbox likely just around the corner and it just won't matter.

Just refer to my above chart, pick what you really think it a number the PS3 can outsell the 360 per week and see how much time it will take.  A $299 PS3 won't make it outsell the 360 by 51k per week, about 30k is the max you're going to get and that rate it's going to take about 5 years (and that's assuming it started outselling the 360 by that much per week tomorrow).

Again, anyone that really believes that PS3 is going to overtake the 360 worldwide or in the Americas is just refusing to look at simple numbers.

If something happened to make the 360 suddenly stop selling and the PS3 to really take off, the earliest it could happen in others is in about 3 years and the earliest it can happen in worldwide and the Americas is about 5 years.  By either of those points it just won't matter.

Exactly, The war for overall sales is over. (sony had a one year disadvantage from the start)  Its all about who has the better games now and can get better sales on a weekly basis