OP, I don't understand your logic. The current financial crisis is forcing companies to close, preventing good games from being made, and prices from dropping. People aren't going to look at a 300$ PS3 (or 200$ Wii or 360) with a dozen or so good games and a successor to be released in the near future and think "What a perfect time to buy". Furthermore, the video game market is so far relatively unaffected by the crisis.
I think either Microsoft or a fourth console-manufacturer are going to start next gen. Nintendo doesn't want to do anything to kill their golden-egg laying goose, and Sony just wants to spend as long as possible amortizing the huge investment they spent so far on the PS3. If Microsoft wants to start the next gen, they're going to do it regardless of economic climate, because they have effectively limitless coffers.
Wii has more 20 million sellers than PS3 has 5 million sellers.
Acolyte of Disruption
