Lifespan of the Wii?

[robjoh]

Shane said:
Nintendo already has a 100 million selling system. The problem is that system never helped its console efforts. Nintendo needs to work on establishing itself as a console player, and there are some definite hurdles to that with both the game buying public and also developers. In the first few months, we saw the Dreamcast and N64 blast right out of the gates, while we saw PS1 go so slow N64 practically eclipsed the year headstart. At the end of the day, the launch didn't matter, and this launch won't remove the December effect. The only thing early sales may have influenced so far is a willingness to go multiplatform and include more on 360, but minus the earlier launch that would be moot.

Back again to point out some things, that I think you have missed or failed to answer:

1. Nintendos 100 million seller system is the gameboy, a system that where out for 10 years and was dated already when it launched. Today Nintendo has another system that most possible will beat that, Nintendo DS, that system sold well in the start but nothing compared to it is selling today. You might also note that the one of the best selling genre on the DS is the touch generation games (Nintendodogs, brain age and so on).
2. Nintendo saved the consol buisness, I don't know where you where during the NES era but some of the best gaming studios that exist today trived under NES. Nintendo might need to reestablishing itself as a comsol player but clearly the have been one of the best and can come back.
3. Playstation 1 had 81 weeks headstart on the N64 in japan and not only that after three weeks it was selling more than N64. PS3 doesn't have that against Wii, your are comparing two different senarios. This time the consols were launched almost on the same time, and Wii has never sold less than PS3 in Japan.
4. Nintendo has already stating that they will increase Wii production, even if the summer month will show less sales than the winter month, that only means that they can stockpile more for next holiday season with Brawl etc coming out.
5. 3rd parties is already now showing more love to Wii than they ever did for the Cube. But if I should be frank, it isn't 3rd parties that is going to sell Wii. It is Wii Sport, Wii Play and Some Mario just as the DS. I would again point out that Wii is selling in Japan on the strength of Wii Sport just as the DS has the brain age series.
6. The DS has showed that 3rd party games can be sold on a nintendo consol. It has also strengthen the Nintendo brand in Europe, mostly with girls a huge untrapped market (5 million+ Dogs).

I guess that was all for now, but I will gladly inform you again if you have any questions. Now I have a question, what do you mean with the december effect?