Which will sell more, Punch Out or The Conduit?

[jlauro]

WereKitten said:

jlauro said:
The Conduit should easily outsell Punch Out. Punch Out might have higher opening numbers from the Nintendo Fanboys, but by the end of the year The Conduit will out pace it.

Punch Out will have better legs than The Conduit in the long distance, as it appeals to a much wider audience. It will probably be one of those evergreen bridge games that keep selling.

 

Look at the top sellers of all time for all platforms.  You will find far more FPS games with larger sales than you reach a boxing game.  You will not find that many boxing games in fact that sold well (compared to FPS).  Boxing is a much smaller niche than FPS.  Maybe it will be evergreen bridge game that keeps selling, but there have been far more FPS hits than boxing hits in the course of gaming history.  I'm sorry, but I don't see what's so special about Punch Out to make it appeal to a larger audience than the Punch Out of the past.  That said, it is Nintendo, and lots of Nintendo fans are excited about it, so it will likely sell several millions.

The real question...  will The Conduit be good enough of a game to sell well...?