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TheSource said:

You guys should recognize that when I do the 70/30, 50/50, 30/70 thing for the big three it means I expect most of the predictions in the likely category to happen, about half in the 50/50 category to happen, and one, maybe two of the items in the 30/70 category to happen.

I did understand that; I really did mean in the topic, "If the 70/30 category came true but nothing else, would you be happy with that?". I wasn't trying to imply that that's your entire prediction (topic title was paraphrasing; I meant what I said in the OP).