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@liquidninja:

Sure they are. But I'm trying to get some sort of handle on what it is going to be this time round. Like HD technology was out there already for consoles to hook into.

So, if next-gen is based around display technology it will either have to out in the market already (and there's no real sign of that now, so it'll be a long while coming) or it will have to come with the console, which will  make it hugely expensive and about hardware convergence, which puts it right up Sony's street.

But if it is about cross-platform software convergence it is more Microsoft's bag.

If it's cloud-based then something like Onlive might be in with a chance, but that still seems hugely risky.

The way Nintendo seems to be headed is more channel-based - it's about differing routes to customers - and that seems to put it in the same category as the expansion of TV with satellite and cable technology, which means nobody has a clear advantage except who first gets into bed with TV producers.

All a bit vague and woolly I know. 

Of course, the most exciting thing would be if all three head off in different directions!