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koffieboon on 15 May 2009
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Ail said:
TheSource said:

You guys are missing the wider picture here.

If PS3/360/Wii weekly rates continue to decline and rise at similar rates, month after month nothing is going to change. It doesn't matter if Wii sells 400k or 800k anymore if it keeps outselling the other two systems combined when it costs less to make Wii games, and those games can reach a comparable number of people. The Wii base is 20m in the USA - similar to the size of the SNES base in 1996, with years left to build.

On the other hand, EA Active and Punch Out combined - not alone but combined - seem like as good a combo as anything for building Wii demand. Both games have great ads, and the fortunes of Nintendo/EA largely ride on these games for the quarter so I don't think they are going to fuck mess up the opportunity.

 

 

I thought the wider picture was Nintendo forecasting to ship 26 millions units this fiscal year and less than 2 weeks ago some of you were even saying Nintendo could announce up to 28 millions units for 2009-2010....

Heck like one week ago you told us you expected that Punch Out and those EA games would bring sales back to last year level by end of May and now I think you're just suggesting they will stabilize wii sales. There's a huge difference between stabilizing sales are the current level and have them go back to last year level ( like a 50% difference..).

And Nintendo probably already knew these numbers from their internal tracking, so it won't come as a surprise to them. Actually Iwata mentioned he expected Wii to be down the first few months of the fiscal year compared to last year. I guess he knows what they have in store for the rest of the year as well and currently feels they will be able to ship 26 million Wii units regardless of the slower start.