Wii no longer up YoY in 2009 compared to 2008

[Ail]

TheSource said:

Iwata said in their stock briefing earlier that he expected sales to be down through May. After June, he expects Wii Sports Resorts and the other titles to give Wii March-May 2008 like momentum heading into the Nov-Dec annual sales ramp up.

The 26m projection for Wii will probably end up like this if they meet it:

Americas ~ 13.75m (shipped 12.93m last FY)

Japan ~ 2.0m (shipped 2.09m last FY - I expect either a price cut or a few major titles which have yet to be announced)

Others ~ 10.25m (shipped 10.96m last FY)

 

DS is a bit different because it has DQIX, the Pokemon remakes, and Kingdom Hearts in Japan - at least and DS is still doing 40k a week there, so they projected 30m:

Americas ~ 11.5m (12.07 last FY)

Japan ~ 4.5m (4.01m last FY)

Others ~ 14m (15.11m (!) last FY)

 

I still think it won't sell over 25 millions.

I think most people, Nintendo included, are ignoring the fact that now that Wii are in stock at every retailer the purchasing patterns will change and noone has a clue what the new patterns will be.......( and Nintendo can't just make a big shipment like they used to do to boost sales to the level they want them to be at...)..

Up to Q1 2009 Nintendo actually had some means to control Wii sales.

Now it's mostly in the hands of the consumer...