Lifespan of the Wii?

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Shane said:

Assuming the last part is true, your prediction of the Wii peaking is no more credible.

This is a prediction about the first few months, not about the long term success solely on the basis of the first few months. ----- If anyone's gonna tap a new market like China and India, it won't be Nintendo. Their 20 years in Europe shows us that. Yeah, yeah, yeah, and PS1 had no chance of selling 100 million either. Do we really need to go in this circle again?

Sony and Microsoft will be pushed by Nintendo.

So you're saying Nintendo's going to release a new console and the other two will follow it because they're scared? Because that seems like it's out of left field, and I'm completely out there with it trying to figure out where it came from. ----- The Wii Sports pack-in and the Nintendo name are selling Wii Play. Plenty of hardcore gamers will buy it. What other choice do they have? They already got Zelda. So I guess that means the only other choice they have is Warioware. Oh wait.

Sony is planning to release PS3 in China (or has released), but with that price, only the western businessmen, who are on an assignment in China, are able to buy it. Anyway, China isn't new market to Nintendo, with NES having its Asian version, which looked like the western version, but games weren't compatible. India is a little harder, because it has big toll fees to everything imported, so the consoles sold in India, practically have to be made in india. If Nintendo releases console in China (or any comparable country), it will be a diffent version (like PAL, NTSC-J etc.), because games cannot be sold at the same price, as in the western countries, and you have to somehow restrict importing from the cheap countries. Nintendos 20 years in Europe. Hmm. They founded NOE in 1991, if i recall. In NES times, they propably did not see the market so clearly, because of the Mattel-NES, which was made by Mattel and sold in the UK. But now, when you are clearly comparing Nintendo to Sony, which has had ready marketing channels in tricky (at that time even trickier) European market, it's really something you can't compare. And Nintendo was doing fine with it's (small) importers in every European country. But this created a little problem with marketing. Since importers were small and Nintendo wasn't in charge of marketing, Nintendo products weren't marketed that good, that they nowdays are. But Sony had it's channels and have had good marketing allways (i can remember).