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It's hard to judge, it all depends what steps will Nintendo take and how fast, if they decide to introduce colours, cut the price or start bundling big software they should be able to increase sales in all reigons.

It also depends on the competition, how fast will MS decide to replace Xbox etc. etc.

I reckon by the end of the generation it could happen but its to early to say. But Wii will easily go past 50% by the end of this year.