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About 9 months ago, I said if it doesn't reach 50% by early 09, it's not likely to ever (short of 360 or PS3 being obsoleted with newer models). Not saying it's impossible, but the more 360+PS3s out there, the harder each .1% is going to be to make up...  Maybe by the end of June, sales of wii will pick up with some of the new releases coming.