Cheaper per gigabyte? Let's see... It said the format could hold 100 times the data of a DVD, right? That's 100 * 4.7GB = 470GB (or 100 * 8.5GB = 850GB for dual-layer DVD). Then it said the cost would be less than $0.10 per gigabyte, right? Well good luck buying those discs: $0.10/GB * 470GB = $47, or $0.10/GB * 850GB = $85 for dual-layer. Not exactly cheap. It would have to be more like $0.01/GB to be reasonable ($4.7/$8.5GB per disc). Well, $0.02/GB at max: $9.2/$17 per disc. For comparison, a recordable single-layer Blu-ray disc (25GB) seems to cost 7€ at lowest here. Of course it's cheaper for industry...
That is, unless I made a mistake. Feel free to correct me if there's need for it; by no means I want to spread false information.
Naturally costs of this technology will fall. It's just a matter of time. However, I wouldn't be so sure about this technology being reasonably priced at the start of the next generation. It would have to MUCH cheaper than it now is to be a decent option. Sure, it could make it... But I wouldn't count on it. Besides, Blu-ray will do for a few years just fine. With all those extra layers (hadn't they already reached 200GB with eight layers?), it could possibly make even the next gen.
Anyway, if Blu-ray is viable enough, Sony ought to use it. And that alone will be great for Blu-ray. Besides, we don't need a new format every five to eight years. Hopefully, at least. It'll get pretty expensive for the consumer.
And I must also make it clear that I have nothing against holography. In fact, I believe it could well be the successor of Blu-ray and it seems to be one of the best options right now. It's just that its costs seem too high now.







