One_touch_KO on 28 April 2009
| bardicverse said: ^^^ If my math is right, which isn't a frequent thing, the Wii has to sell double the amount of PS3 + XB360 units to gain %1, on a monthly system. To simplify, If W > 2(P+X), then add 1% every 30 days. The only time that Nintendo comes close to matching this formula is in the Christmas holiday season. So, in theory, they need 1.3% to make the 50% mark, or roughly 1 month and a week of them matching the formula. I think this might happen by January 2010, granted that Nintendo provides a solid Christmas season lineup. Remember, we still have yet to see the Wii have a price cut yet, and we're only half a year shy of its 3 year mark. |
It is an extreme math.
Gaining 1% in market share just in one month is just insane.
Was someone said above, if the Wii outsells by 50K the PS3 and 360 combined it will have 50% market share by the end of the year.
But the market isn't that constant. I bet that Wii sales will get insane starting at this summer with Wii Sports Resort and 360 can see a good month and a half boost due to Halo 3: ODST.
I expect it to have the 50% market share even sooner than the Holiday season.
