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Sales - Lifespan of the Wii? - View Post

davygee said:
Erik Aston said:

I'm predicting not only 80-100 million sales, but 150 million sales. And a lifespan of at least 6 years, and possibly 10-12 years.


 Oh dear....


Well, his predictions are no more ridiculous than your own, really. ;>

This gen is unpredictable, really anything could happen.  360 could suddenly take off this Xmas and never look back.  Wii could keep selling out for the next 2 years and generate unheard of sales.  PS3 could keep slowly building steam until suddenly everyone wakes up and realizes it sold 100M again.

Just remember there were 150-160M consoles sold last gen, and with all the new non-gamers the Wii is supposedly attracting, is that total number really going to go down?  Especially with the heavily perceived notion that the Wii is the perfect secondary console for the 360/PS3 among the "hardcore" gamers, we might see even more multi-console owners this gen than last by the time it's over.  I could easily believe that both PS3 and Wii sell over 100M, or all three consoles sell 70M.  But for all three to sell under 40M?  That's what's truly ludicrous.