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I think it'll take another generation on top of this one of clear Nintendo dominance for 3rd parties to come around.

You can still justify not developing on the wii (building a brand new engine, licking the wounds of building useless HD engines, advertising etc) this generation and potentially next generation as well (depending on how well MS and Sony do).

But after 2 generations of dominance (Wii and what evers next), I think we'll see the next super nintendo like console.

That's assuming Nintendo continue their success next generation