I don't think that HD penetration means that much... After all, most consoles will be sold to kids. And if household has one HDTV, it usually isn't in the kids room. I have been telling about the 3rd world countries, they have a lot of potential and if Nintendo can push Wiis price low enough, it could sell well in the 3rd world countries (at this point, its still much to expensive). Most households buy only one console/generation, so they will buy games for the console if they want to play it. And as long as people buy games, they will make games. But, if Wii gets too much audience from the non gamers, it would affect to game sales and 3rd party would lose its interest for the console. The most popular systen usually sells after next generation release (look at PS2 now, it's been over a year since current gen started and it's still selling and NES had its last game at -95). So if Wii gets popular (and cheap) enough, it could last easilly to 2020 (remember the third world).
Ei Kiinasti.
Eikä Japanisti.
Vaan pannaan jalalla koreasti.
Nintendo games sell only on Nintendo system.
