Japan the winners and loser will the market shrink to less than 25million?

[Oyvoyvoyv]

hunter_alien said:

Oyvoyvoyv said:

Scottie is, essentially, correct.

If you look at the expceted Japan sales, they're somewhere around this

Wii: 17M (pessimistic is 15M, optimistic is 20M)

DS: 37M? (Has sold 26M so far, but is slowing down a lot).Naaaah... I dont think it will hit that much... maybe 34...

PsP: 22M (has sold 11M so far)I say it will do ~ 18-19 max tbh

Ps3: 6M (2.2M so far)Its already at 3.2... it will pobably pick up steam and pass 8 million LT....

X360: 2M Thats plausable...

 

Total: 74M

Compared to last gen, in which it was 45M. That's a 70% growth.

 

But that is, of course, because of handhelds. Handhelds have a GoG of somewhere around + 250%

 

(I'm not sure why I wrote that, most people should know it).

 

For consoles, there was around 30M sold last gen. I'm guessing for around 25M this gen (see numbers above). A slight drop, but that's not really too much to care about.

Still I agree, this gen the Japanese hardware market had grown a lot, and we will have at least 3 sistsems that will pass the 10 million mark, and maybe even multi ten million mark... software sales might be a bit down yoy but games like MH, FF and DQ will keep it up in the longrun ;)

 

Ah, Ps3 is at  3.2, not 2.2. Then 8-9M seems more reasonable indeed.

As for the  handhelds, I expect them to have a long way to go yet (lifetime wise), so it's not odd that you have it a bit lower (yours is probably better, as it is closer to the average belief).