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I don't think Nintendo will win. They won this gen because of how much media attention it got and its very low price. Next gen Sony and Microsoft will release much cheaper consoles that will compete with Nintendo's next console.

Also I doubt the "Wii 2" or whatever its called will get the same media attention the Wii did. And by media attention I mean being on every single talkshow including Ellen Degeneris giving a free Wii/Wii Fit to every audience member one show.