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TheSource said:

There are only ten PS3 games scheduled to release between now and June 24.

Shin Sangoku Musou 5 Empires should do ok, and Agarest Senki will too but of the ten...thats kind of it. Killzone 2 isn't going to be anything special in Japan, and the others don't look big either.

PS3 should overtake Wii for the year in Japan on Famitsu sometime in the next few weeks, but ~May 10 to June 24 or so looks pretty quiet for PS3, so I could see Wii retaking the lead in mid/late May even if PS3 wins Golden Week, and then erasing the PS3 build up quickly once Wii Sports Resort comes out (probably mid June?)

 

I count 13, which doesn't seem too bad. I think Wii has around the same amount of releases over the period.

Killzone 2 should outsell Agarest Senki, it's a very niche low budget game. Atelier Rorona which releases same day will probably outsell Agarest Senki too, Bionic Commando might even outsell it.