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HappySqurriel on 27 September 2007
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Honestly, the worst case for the Wii is:

  1. It passes the Gamecube's lifetime sales (21 Million) by March 31st 2008
  2. By September 31st 2008 it passes the N64's sales ( 30.75 Million)
  3. By September 31st 2009  it passes the SNES (49.08 Million).
  4. By March 31st 2009  it passes the NES (61.79 Million).
  5. Between March 31st 2009 and September 31st 2011 (the last 18 months before Nintendo releases the follow up system) the Wii sells 21 Million systems (Roughly 80 Million)
  6. Over the next 24 months the Wii sales drops off and it falls (just) short of 100 Million consoles sold