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lolz.  I notice you specifically avoided comparing them both at 20/20 so I'll do it.

Guy Karel
HP 53 39.4
STR 18.8 19.6
SKL 29 29
SPD 30 26
LCK 21.2 18.6
DEF 12.4 14.2
RES 10 13.8

Guy wins:  HP, SPD, LCK
Tie:  SKL
Karel wins:  STR, DEF, RES

+13-14 average HP means that whatever advantage Karel has in DEF/RES is totally overshadowed by Guy's ability to take 1 extra hit.

All that leaves Karel with is an average of 1 point more STR.  Meanwhile Guy is humming along with 2 points more LCK and 4 points more SPD.  Let's also note that Guy is maxing speed (30) at 20/16 while Karel has a meager 24 SPD at 20/16.

I'm sorry but Karel is utterly obliterated by Guy.