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Analysts are just guessing and I havn't seen any with any more accuracy than people on this site.

However, I agree a Wii MH3 won't sell as many units as the PSP versions - in Japan.

Don't forget Capcom has stated they want to try to make MH as big in the west as it is in Japan (or at least much bigger than it is now) and the Wii version will be the forefront of that effort.