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Read my lips. Heavy Rain's gameplay will be remembered mostly for it's weaker parts (restricted, being a long string of QTE-like blends) but even more remembered for its beautiful grafix.

Alan Wake will get 93% on Gamerankings and sell 3 million copies.
Heavy Rain will get 84% on Gamerankings and sell 1.1 million copies.

You can quote me on this.

Note: I'm not bashing Heavy Rain, as you can see from the numbers it will still be a great game with big sales.