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theRepublic said:
How about comparing similar games? The Conduit and Killzone 2 are both exclusive FPS that are supposed to push the limits of their respective consoles. Development costs on Killzone 2 has been estimated to be between 30 and 60 million dollars. The Conduit has been estimated at 10 million.

the gap alone between 30 and 60 ALONE makes the estimation looks bad and wrong.

again , no solid info just estimation based on nearly nothing.

the same goes for the conduit , it may be less or more, who really knows?