| TheSource said: You can't use preorders as what the game will sell in its first week. Every significant game I've watched has ended up topping its preorders by at least 10% in week one in Japan. Monster Hunter G has a demo of Monster Hunter 3 - its the same ploy as Final Fantasy XIII. There will be a boost of 20-30% for Wii hardware when it comes out at a minimum because some of the Monster Hunter audience will buy a Wii. Deca Sporta 2 also comes out when the Final Fantasy XIII bundle releases. Even in the shadow of Smash Brothers last year, Deca Sporta 1 boosted Wii a little bit, so even with a likely big PS3 boost Wii isn't going to get swamped. Japan will probably look like this through June barring any major announcements - Wii PS3 Games/Event 4/11 18k 18k Muramasa (~25k) 4/18 20k 30-40k FFXIII demo (~150k?), Deca Sports 2 (~50k?) 4/25 32k 25-30k Monster Hunter G (I'd say ~60k-90k preorders now... ~90k-150k week one) 5/2 45k 35k Golden Week (Apr 29 to May 6) 5/9 50k 39k Golden Week (Apr 29 to May 6) 5/16 33k 26k Post-Golden Week Fall/Winning Eleven Playmaker Wii 5/23 35k 23k Takt of Magic Wii 5/30 30k 25k Shin Sangoku Musou 5/Agarest Senki PS3 6/6 27k 22k Arc Rise Fantasia Wii 6/13 25k 19k 6/20 50-65k 14k Wii Sports Resort (sometime in June) 6/27 40k 12k |
Few weeks ago you predict almost the same scenario, but the truth is different ...but still - I like your prediction. My opinion for upcoming months (based on Media Create):
Wii PS3 Games/Event
4/11 16-17k 18-19k Muramasa (~23k)
4/18 18k 40k ? FFXIII demo (~depends on shipment), Deca Sports 2
4/25 25k 30k Monster Hunter G
5/2 30k 28k Golden Week (Apr 29 to May 6)
5/9 35k 32k Golden Week (Apr 29 to May 6)
5/16 25k 26k Post-Golden Week Fall/Winning Eleven Playmaker Wii
5/23 23k 23k Takt of Magic Wii
5/30 22k 27k Shin Sangoku Musou 5/Agarest Senki PS3
6/6 22k 24k Arc Rise Fantasia Wii
6/13 20k 22k
6/20 18k 19k
6/27 16k 24k Agarest Senki Zero/BlazBlue/Rorona no Atelier
Sorry for my english.
