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Another reason I think 2009 sales won't pick up to catch 2008 is that you have the current deficit of 700k units and in 2008 1 year ago exactly Mario Kart Wii released in Japan.
So April 2009 vs April 2008 is going to be terrible too...



PS3-Xbox360 gap : 1.5 millions and going up in PS3 favor !

PS3-Wii gap : 20 millions and going down !