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I agree with Pachter that they'll have trouble shipping 11 million this year, but this comment illicits a "no duh" from me:

"If they can accompany that game's launch with a price cut (or a lower priced SKU), I think we'll see a spike in sales,"

I think we'd see a spike in sales even if they cut the price without any new games to accompany it. That's kind of the point of price cuts. Not to say it's a bad idea...a price cut should come around the same time as some major game releases...it's just one of those silly statements that doesn't mean much when you think about it.