When will the Nintendo Wii Sales Pass the Combined Sales of Xbox360 and PS3

[Oyvoyvoyv]

Alterego-X said:
It is also interesting to consider, that from what we know, Wii can follow either the "PS2 model" or the "DS model"

http://vgchartz.com/hwlaunch.php?cons1=Wii&reg1=All&cons2=DS&reg2=All&cons3=PS2&reg3=All&weeks=258&weekly=1

The PS 2's sales increased for 3 Christmas seasons, reached its peak, and started decreasing significantly.
The DS had five gradually increasing Christmas, and from what we know, the next one can still bring new increase.

In other words: What is the reason behind the DS longetivity? The fact that it is a handheld, or that it is a Blue Ocean product?

If it is the latter, we can expect 2,5-2,8 million Wiis sold in this December, even bigger sales in 2010 December, and much bigger sales in 2011, complete with constantly shrinking PS360 numbers.

In this case, even 60% would be an understatement.

Okay, first - I changed it into totals. http://vgchartz.com/hwlaunch.php?cons1=Wii&reg1=All&cons2=DS&reg2=All&cons3=PS2&reg3=All&weeks=258

Second, you have to consider that DS had a redesign into DSL. That's at about week 70.

In 2 holidays and 70 weeks, DS (without lite) sold 16M.

In the next 70 weeks (just 1 holiday) it sold 30M.

That's a nearly 100% increase, and that's almost solely because the DSL released.

For a comparison, Wii sold 23M, then 26M.

 

I believe Wii won't follow either.

 

Anyway, I decided to put your argument into a yearly table (I already had one). You have a fair point, and I kinda forgot what I was going on about, so I'll pick it up later (got a huge headache, sorry).

 

	Ps2	DS	Wii
Year 0	5.86M	2.8M	3.2M
Year 1	16.5M	11.4M	16.6M
2	21.6M	21.2M	25.2M
3	19.2M	29.4M	28M (?)
4	16M	32.6M
5	18M
6	12.5M
7	9.8M
8	7.6M

 

Edit: it messed up. Gah