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I think it's too hard to call, the markets aren't constant, there are too many variables to consider. If sony pulled a 100$ price drop out of the bag before GOWIII and GT5, and if ms don't really reveal much of interest at E3 I'd say the gap would close considerably this year. Otherwise if ms keep bringin out the occasional blockbuster and sony keep their high price and low marketing, then yeah, things will continue as normal : )