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TheSteve said:
makingmusic476 said:
HappySqurriel said:

Well, year over year PS3 sales seem to be down about 10% in 2009 and it doesn't have the benefit of having Grand Theft Auto 4 and Metal Gear Solid 4 being released later this year ...

About the only way I could se their estimate comming true is if they reduced the price by $100 fairly early in the year and had some unannounced big games to release this year.

 

But we will be seeing FFXIII in Japan, and possibly GT5 worldwide.

FFXIII in Japan will probably give the ps3 a boost similar to what MGS4 did worldwide.

Yes...  But only in Japan, and even with MG, sales were down overall.  One game that will do well in one region is not going to make a bigger impact than last year when one game did well worldwide.

 

Debatable.  The ps3 only sold 334k the week MGS4 was released.  FFXIII will probably break 2 million in Japan lifetime, and it'll probably be able to boost the ps3 to over 200k in Japan upon release (MGS4 managed to boost the ps3 to 77k).  Toss in another 130k for the ps3's NA/EU numbers, and you have over 300k yet again.

But the situation will be different this time.  The ps3 will have likely recieved a price cut before then, and FFXIII will probably hit Japan during the Western holiday season, so sales in NA/EU will be up anyway.