Is the Wii bubble About to Burst?

[Erik Aston]

I don't know about 500K copies sold... But how about, say, 6M copies sold? Let's count everything on the system through the end of 2007.

360:

For sure:
Halo 3

Maybe:
Gears of War


PS3:
nothing


Wii

For sure:
Wii Sports
Wii Play
Super Mario Galaxy
Super Smash Bros. Brawl

Maybe:
Zelda: Twilight Princess
Link's Crossbow Training



Let's drop it to 3-6M sellers:

360

For sure:
Gears of War

Maybe:
Bioshock
Mass Effect
COD4


PS3

um....


Wii

For sure:
Zelda: Twilight Princess
Link's Crossbow Training
Mario Party 8

Maybe:
Metroid Prime 3
Mario and Sonic at the Olympics



Now, when you get into 1-3M sellers, you'll see the 360 and Wii lists become similar in size. With even stuff like Lair, Warhawk and Heavenly Sword looking iffy for 1M WW, the PS3's list will be very short in comparison.

But only 8 500K sellers for the rest of the year on Wii? That's absurd.