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for the PS3, i think a 50$/€ reduction is enought for flat sales.

And a 100$/€ reduction for a 30% or more rise in sales.

So it depend of "when" and by "how much".

 

If they cut the price by 50$ by may or june, and 50$ by october or november, a 10-15% rise in fiscal year 2009 is clearly possible. altought there will be other price cuts by nintendo and microsoft.