I think 4 million is a pretty reasonable estimate, I mean it could easily be one of those games which has infinite legs, and if it starts racking up the sales of Wii Sports and Wii Play in Japan, we'll be looking at 2 million in Japan alone.
I reckon this will be the game Nintendo put the most into advertising, as it has that huge cross market appeal, the Wii Sports crowd will want it, gamers of all ages will love it, it has both Christmas to gain sales, and then the Olympics themselves.
I guess I just can't see why it won't sell, the one thing holding it back might be that RRR2 is better then it, but the whole 'casual' type market who go for this sort of thing probably won't even bother checking reviews, they'll get the game with Sonic and Mario.
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