Is the Wii bubble About to Burst?

[jimmay]

HappySqurriel said:

Wii Games to be released that will (probably) break 500,000 units sold wordwide:

1. Dance Dance Revolution: Hottest Party
2. Battalion Wars 2
3. Endless Ocean
4. Guitar Hero III: Legends of Rock
5. Manhunt 2
6. Super Swing Golf 2
7. Fire Emblem: Radiant Dawn
8. LEGO Star Wars: The Complete Saga
9. Super Mario Galaxy
10. NiGHTS: Journey of Dreams
11. Rayman Raving Rabbids 2
12. Resident Evil: Umbrella Chronicles
13. Soulcalibur Legends
14. Link's Crossbow Training
15. Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games
16. Super Smash Bros. Brawl

Wii Games to be released that might break 500,000 units sold wordwide:

1. Crash of the Titans
2. Donkey Kong Barrel Blast
3. Mercury Meltdown Revolution
4. Bleach: Shattered Blade
5. Tony Hawk's Proving Ground
6. Zack & Wiki: Quest for Barbaros' Treasure
7. EA Playground
8. Rockstar Games Presents Table Tennis
9. Need for Speed ProStreet
10. Brothers in Arms: Double Time
11. Dragon Ball Z: Budokai Tenkaichi 3
12. Medal of Honor Heroes 2
13. Trauma Center: New Blood
14. Geometry Wars: Galaxies

Number of remaing Wii games to be released in 2007: 99
Predicted ratio of games breaking 500,000 mark: ~30%

Well we'll see who's closer, my prediction fo roughly 8 or your prediction of 16-30...