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Those numbers sound pretty insane, especially considering the last time a game published by Sega sold that well was on the Megadrive/Genesis.

I suppose it could happen if the combined factors of being an official olympics game, a casual game on the Wii, and containing Mario characters all come together in a spectacular fashion. Being any good as a game will probably help too, although the amount of people who buy this due to good reviews etc will probably be pretty low.

I'm very skeptical about four million, but we're definitely looking at a million seller here.