ookaze - A couple things. One I assumed the 360 would lead in Europe because A) it was released first and B) because it is doing well in the UK, the largest European videogame market. Second, the winner of the 'legacy' console generation tends to sell amazing amounts of software and decent amounts of hardware for about a year after the release of the next console in the previously dominant brand. In other words: NES was still selling in 92' (SNES 91') SNES was selling in mid 96'- mid 97' (N64 96') PS1 was selling in 01' (PS2 00') PS2 is selling in 07' (PS3 06') It goes something like this NES outsold the SNES in 92' SNES outsold the N64 in 96' PS1 outsold PS2 in 00' PS2 may outsell PS3 in 06'-07' Next, I know Sony has yet to release outside the Americas and Japan, but I don't expect them to launch with more then 800,000 for 'other regions'. Although this will be a significant one time bump in marketshare, I feel pretty saying Microsoft can sell 400,000-750,000 (20-50k Japan, 200-400k NA, 180-300k other) consoles in an oridnary month, and that Nintendo can sell 500,000-1 million per month (200-450k Japan, 150-300k NA, 100-250k Other) in an ordinary month. Sony I think will arrive at like 100-250k in NA, 50-150k Japan, 150-250k in the Other markets for an ordinary month (350-650k). With a price drop in Japan and North America, Sony could probably sell another 200k per month. A 360 price drop would be huge in America, because it is almost at mass market. An American 360 price drop would add like 200k sales per month I think.
People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.
When there are more laws, there are more criminals.
- Lao Tzu
