Is the Wii bubble About to Burst?

[shams]

Sales have dropped. No question of that.

But they have also dropped at the right time - Nintendo has planned & timed this out perfectly. The pre-Xmas rush starts around October, and by the time November hits - the sales of all games/consoles (this year in particular!) will go through the roof.

Nintendo will sell every available Wii this Xmas - worldwide. I don't think anyone has a doubt that there will be supply shortages - rather than demand shortages.

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Mark my words - the real console war starts Jan 1st '08 (or maybe 2 weeks later). 

What happens in the "off-season" (post-Xmas) will be critical, and will go a long way to determining the long-term future of all three consoles.

You can actually see all three consoles prepping for that period now - its quite remarkable.

WiiFit,  Mario Kart, Wii MotorSports, WiiWare launch, etc...

Killzone, MGS4, HOME, LittleBigPlanet, etc...

Halo Wars,  Too Human, etc...

(and lets not even mention the real big Daddy - GTA4)

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2008 is going to be a really remarkable year in the industry. Can it out do 2007? I think it almost certainly will, which is pretty scary considering how well 2007 went!