Is the Wii bubble About to Burst?

[fkusumot]

Dodece said:
I think the Wii bubble refers to stratospheric sales that clean out shelves on a regular basis. Some think the bubble bursting means that sales plummet, and the Wii will start to lose to their competitors.

I think the Wii bubble has burst even if your post game launch or in a soft spot in sales cycles a high demand hard to find item should still have ungodly sales. Since people have not beien able to get one, and everyone still wants one. You should never see a situation where supply outstrips demand by two to one or three to one. The Wii should still be selling at the higher numbers regardless of those two factors.

That does not mean the Wii will not continue to sell well. That just means its no longer stratospheric. All good things come to an end, and every console that has flown off the shelves has to reach a point where the bubble bursts. Where the supply exceeds the demand, and the initial momentum diminishes.

What concerns me is that the console has been moving heavily on a fad mentality. These sales definitely indicate that the fad is going out of style. The way a Tickle me Elmo, or Beenie Babies were the thing to have for months on end. The Wii became a toy for many they had to have. You know what else during the height of the hype about these things few people actively vested in their respective markets would have thought the bottom would fall out. Well eventually the general public does and will lose interest in things.