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^There might be a trouble with the terms here. For my definitions if you don't own Z:TP nor SMG, you're not a "core Nintendo gamer", though you might be a "hardcore gamer" that owns a Wii.

For my numbers I expect a "core Nintendo gamer" to buy the vast majority of the "hardcore" first party titles. I think you will agree that there's a strong brand loyalty so that such an audience will exist. In other words I expect first party title sales to be much more correlated for Nintendo than for Sony or Microsoft, and that the sales of Z:TP and SMG give us the estimation of this audience size.
This is one of my hypotesis, for which I have no proof but that I think is very reasonable.
The fact that you're not in this group doesn't change the numbers: each "hardcore" game you bought is one less that was bought a by really casual Wii owner.



"All you need in life is ignorance and confidence; then success is sure." - Mark Twain

"..." - Gordon Freeman