| dahuman said: I'm more interested in HVD personally, if that media comes out and big companies start supporting it, it's game over for anything before it pretty much. |
To me you just illustrated why I think Blu-Ray may become the last successfull physical media entertainment delivery devices. Tech is simply moving so fast. By the time a spec is ratified and the players start shipping there is already something better in the pipeline. You can see this right now with the compresson used it Blu-Ray- by today's standards is takes up a lot of space. Take h.264 for instance, you can with a good encoder get about 8 movies on one Blu-Ray disc of similar quality to what is released. Compression marches at such a fast pace that physical players seem to be increasingly behind the curve. Heck even a dual layer DVD is able to store a 2 hour 1080p movie. While I think Blu-Ray is a great storage medium, and I think it will find success in the market, it already seems outdated as a means of consumer video transmission.
As for broadband penetration, that simply outdated. Right now we sit at 73.1 % which is up significantly in the last few years. Granted it far from perfect (and is only people who have access to it, not actually owners), but I think it will make an impact, more-so in the a few years. But the trend has started, and we are getting to a point where people are starting to need internet access.
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