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dahuman said:

I'm more interested in HVD personally, if that media comes out and big companies start supporting it, it's game over for anything before it pretty much.

 

To me you just illustrated why I think Blu-Ray may become the last successfull physical media entertainment delivery devices. Tech is simply moving so fast. By the time a spec is ratified and the players start shipping there is already something better in the pipeline. You can see this right now with the compresson used it Blu-Ray- by today's standards is takes up a lot of space. Take h.264 for instance, you can with a good encoder get about 8 movies on one Blu-Ray disc of similar quality to what is released. Compression marches at such a fast pace that physical players seem to be increasingly behind the curve. Heck even a dual layer DVD is able to store a 2 hour 1080p movie. While I think Blu-Ray is a great storage medium, and I think it will find success in the market, it already seems outdated as a means of consumer video transmission.

As for broadband penetration, that simply outdated. Right now we sit at 73.1 %   which is up significantly in the last few years. Granted it far from perfect (and is only people who have access to it, not actually owners), but I think it will make an impact, more-so in the a few years. But the trend has started, and we are getting to a point where people are starting to need internet access.

 



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