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I think 4 million is very doable because it is recognized by most as the shooter of choice for PS3. It's at what 1.5 Million now, I think at after about 6 weeks its legs should settle in at between 1/3 to 1/2 of the weekly new PS3 sales, and despite what people think I think it will do very well in Japan. It has also been released during a historical slow season for games and it has been quite crowded as of late for PS3 with SFIV and RE5 being quite popular for PS3. (my friend at work who is a PS3 fanboy hasn't really spoke to much about the game good or bad)