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well, the tide has already turned - they are (or almost are) in a position of profitability. this is big for sony considering the global economy.

if you mean will they ever get out of third place, then i think the answer is no. it might be just what you said that the highest price = lose... at least it matters this late in the generation when they 8 million units away from second place.

if sony does get second place after 10 years and ms has already moved on, i don't think anyone will be patting them on the back saying congrats (okay, there probably will be some who do, but they are scary and shouldn't be looked directly in the eyes).