| trunkswd said:
My estimates on the Xbox 360 have always been on the high side, because it is my console of choice, it has the most games that I play. O ok, yeah I know it is not impossible, I just feel its highly unlikey. |
Clearly it is the opposite for me, I don't see the appeal of the Xbox and I live in the UK, which is it's second greatest country in terms of popularity.
Back in late 2007 I was expecting it to succumb to the Playstation brand name later last year, and for the PS3 to be passing it in total sales late 2009... but now it is pretty much impossible for the PS3 to pass 360 until late 2011 or after... and that's only if it starts going well for PS3 some time soon (like this Christmas period)
In fact, a prediction I made in January 2008 (predicting the life totals at the end of 2008) pegged the Wii at 45 million (pretty much spot on) the PS3 at 19 million (again spot on, although my revisions to the prediction increased to 21 million later in the year, then it all went wrong for PS3) and the X360 originally at just 23 million, which it surpassed by 4 million.
You can check my profile to see what are essentially the same type of prediction but 1 year later (so for life-till the end of 2009) I tried to be a bit more bullish with the X360, but I think it could surpass my figures again.
